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Sorry adam that's junk science. You're example should be the answer is 1 or X where X is any number in your range except Y. 99,999/100,000 times the answer will be X.

If the person eliminating the door knows where the prize is and you know the history of the game the odds don't change. If the host eliminates a door and then shuffles the doors so you don't know which one you originally picked the odds are 50/50 but as long as you know what you're original...

Yeah I'll happily play this with anyone arguing about it, the only stipulation is they are not allowed to switch.

yes but you don't know what door will be eliminated therefore you must list all possible combinations from the starting position. Above you have excluded door 3 but you don't know that door will be excluded therefore it must be included in possible outcomes of the game.

In this situation the probability is 50/50. It's only if the person knows which was originally chosen and which door was not eliminated by the host that the probability is not 50/50.

If the probability was 50/50 then there will be an equal number of winning outcomes based on switching or not switching. That means I have missed 3 possible scenarios from my list. If you can provide the 3 scenarios I will agree that the probability is 50%.

Here's another. At the Infinity Hotel there are an infinite number of rooms. A man walks upto reception and asks for a room. He is told there are already an infinite number of guests staying at the hotel so all the rooms are occupied. How do they get him a room to stay in?

August. The only way to achieve this is for the monday to be the 31st and the Thursday to be the 7th. So the current month starts on a Tuesday and must end on a thursday so that the first thursday can be the 7th. This means it must have 31 days also. Only July and August are consecutive...

The odds of an item being behind one of two objects is 50/50 but thats not the point. There are nine total scenarios which can occur in the game. If you were to switch in all nine scenarios you would win six of the nine. That is the important part.

The important point in this puzzle is that the host knows which door the car is behind, so the door with the car will never be eliminated. So the outcomes can be seen in the following table: Winning Door Door Chosen If you switch do you win? 1 1...

My previous comment may have been sarcastic.

Laziness I suspect

I wouldn't invite you in.

No I don't have a cat it would just be my wife, family and friends.

I suspect they leave because they realise there is no chance I am actually going to join their religion. They are usually jehovah's witnesses.

It just sounds like you don't like islam much and consider it to be dangerous.

Because I am fed up of being told that to be a good person you have to follow what they say and believe in supernatural nonsense. Sadly people believe that drivel. The lies of theists need to be tackled head on. If the door bell rings I answer it. My "visitors" never stay long though, they...

No need to seek them. They come to my door, they stand in the streets, they spread their beliefs in schools, they take and spend tax money.

I wasn't particularly referring to a war but more just a wish for theists to be far away from me. I've reread the thread a few times now and I am not sure what your overall point is? Could you summarise it for me?

It would seem my posts are a bit like you then :rolleyes: