Silversun, please note that different people see the same things in different ways due to differences in background. Plog isn't wrong either. There are probably a dozen ways to approach this problem and you must find a method that works for you because you understand it AND it is technically feasible. June7, cronk, plog, and I have suggested that your structure is your enemy here. That "rat's nest" of relationships is the flare-lit tip-off that you have a problem of having overthought those risk findings.
Take a really hard look at that link plog gave you, then maybe come back and restate your original problem IN ENGLISH so that we can help you analyze your data and reach your goal.